Out of the
three network laws we discussed in class – Sarnoff’s Law, Metcalfe's Law, and
Reed’s Law – I would say that I agree with Sarnoff’s Law the most. I state
this because I think it is the most basic law and that it is not making too
large of a statement. It makes sense that the value of a network would increase
linearly as the number of people on it rises. If a lot of people are watching television station or listening to a radio station, that television/radio station's value is going to increase. It is very understandable
and to-the-point. The other two laws are fine, but have more critiques. I know
there are critiques for Sarnoff’s Law as well, but I believe it has fewer than
the others because it is a more conservative statement. More people are going
to agree with a law that makes the most sense, is the most accurate in its
findings, and produces the least critiques; I believe Sarnoff’s Law fits this
description. And although it may not be the most applicable nowadays, I do still think it is the most coherent.
Five years
from now, I think that people will be getting their information largely from
the Internet. Books, newspapers, and other printed materials will still be
around, but I do not think they will be utilized as often. Information that is
on a computer, tablet, or smartphone will probably be the most-accessed
information. And when we are using these devices, we are usually on either the
Internet or on applications. Television will most likely continue to be
popular, but I am guessing that more people will access it via their computers.
We seem to be heading in a direction that is leading us away from printed
materials and towards online materials. Although that is sad to me (I love
printed materials, such as books), the future seems to be full of more
computers, tablets, smartphones, and other such devices.
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